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SPOT GOLD FALLS, YET COINS STAY EXPENSIVE: WHY?
The 07/09/2026 18:30 by La rédaction Godot & Fils

The gold price is an essential reference for investors, yet it does not fully explain the price quoted for a coin. When spot prices decline, it may therefore seem surprising that gold coins remain relatively expensive. This gap is not necessarily an anomaly: it reflects the difference between an international financial benchmark and a physical product ready for delivery.

Spot refers to a troy ounce of gold traded in London under “Loco London” standards. A coin sold to a private investor, by contrast, incorporates minting, delivery, availability and retail-market conditions. Understanding these elements provides a clearer view of why physical prices can remain resilient.

Why is the spot price of gold falling today?

Gold’s recent decline stems primarily from the United States. The Bureau of Labor Statistics released a better-than-expected jobs report for August 2026: 162,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate steady at 4.1%. Following July’s weakness, this rebound has shifted investors’ outlook. If the U.S. economy holds up better than expected, the Fed may maintain a tight monetary policy.

This outlook is weighing on gold. Gold does not pay dividends. When bond yields rise, some capital shifts toward interest-bearing investments. The Federal Reserve reiterated in its July statements that it remains vigilant regarding inflationary risks. On September 7, Trading Economics reported that gold prices had fallen to around $4,418 per ounce. On September 4, the LBMA reported a gold price of $4,466.25 in the morning and $4,415.40 in the afternoon.

 

Why don’t gold coins follow suit immediately?

The first reason is simple: a coin is not just metal. It contains gold, but also has a specific format, liquidity, and demand. The spot price reflects the theoretical value of fine gold. The physical price includes a premium. The price of a bar or coin incorporates costs above the spot price, including manufacturing, packaging, and the markup.

This premium varies by product. It is often lower for large bars, as fixed costs are spread across a larger quantity of metal. It is higher for smaller sizes and for coins in high demand. A 20-franc Napoleon coin may therefore hold its value better than a standard bar when the spot price falls.

Availability, Manufacturing, and Inventory

The physical market has a degree of inertia that the paper market does not. A listed contract can lose value in a matter of minutes. A coin that has already been minted, transported, inspected, and stored incurs costs that do not disappear simply because the spot price falls during a trading session. If they have purchased metal or coins at a higher price, professionals do not always pass on the price drop immediately.

Availability also plays a role. The most liquid products can become proportionally more expensive when physical demand increases. A drop in the spot price attracts buyers. If the available supply does not increase as quickly, the premium absorbs part of the price movement. The World Gold Council emphasizes that demand for bullion and coins remains a major driver of the global gold market.

 

The euro-dollar exchange rate complicates the final price

Gold is usually quoted in U.S. dollars. For an investor buying with euros, the euro-dollar exchange rate therefore affects the final price. A decline in the spot price in dollars may be partially offset—or, conversely, amplified—by currency fluctuations.

It is therefore advisable to monitor both the price of gold in euros and the price of the specific coin you are interested in. This dual perspective helps avoid jumping to the conclusion that a decline observed in an international quote will be fully reflected in the French market.

 

Physical Demand and Buying Strategy

When gold prices fall following strong U.S. economic data, many retail investors see this as an opportunity to buy. This reaction can support physical prices. Well-known coins that are easy to resell and widely recognized in France maintain a specific level of demand. The premium then serves as a barometer of actual appetite for the metal.

Given this discrepancy, one should avoid focusing solely on the spot price. An investor must compare the total price paid, the premium, liquidity, and the spread between the purchase price and the resale price. A high premium isn’t necessarily excessive if the product is liquid and in demand. It becomes problematic if it’s tied to a format that’s difficult to resell.

The right approach is often to buy gradually. This helps smooth out fluctuations in the spot price and avoids dependence on a single trading day.

Conclusion

A falling spot price does not automatically mean cheaper gold coins. The physical price remains resilient because it incorporates much more than just the metal: premium, manufacturing costs, availability, exchange rates, demand, and liquidity. The current decline can be attributed to financial news dominated by U.S. employment figures, interest rate expectations, and the Fed. For individual investors, physical gold remains a market for tangible assets. Understanding this disconnect allows for a more methodical approach to buying, without confusing market opportunities with an automatic drop in the final price.


By La rédaction Godot & Fils

Passionate and expert in the field of buying and selling precious metals, we put our expertise at your service to offer you in-depth analyses of gold and silver financial news. Driven by the desire to provide you with clear, reliable and relevant information, we ensure that each piece of content is both precise and concise. Our aim is to help you better understand market trends so that you can make informed decisions about your investments. Through our articles, we offer practical advice, decoding of major economic events and technical analysis to maximise your investment opportunities. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced investor, our content is designed to help you succeed in your precious metals investments. Follow us so that you don't miss out on any market developments and benefit from an expert's view of gold, silver and the economic dynamics that shape their value.


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